Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000113 0.000125 0.000137 0.000151 0.000166 0.000183 0.000203
2026-01-11 0.000090 0.000106 0.000126 0.000149 0.000178 0.000211 0.000254
2026-01-18 0.000077 0.000096 0.000119 0.000150 0.000189 0.000239 0.000306
2026-01-25 0.000066 0.000087 0.000112 0.000148 0.000195 0.000259 0.000349
2026-02-01 0.000059 0.000080 0.000108 0.000147 0.000203 0.000281 0.000397
2026-02-08 0.000053 0.000074 0.000102 0.000145 0.000207 0.000297 0.000438
2026-02-15 0.000048 0.000068 0.000097 0.000142 0.000209 0.000310 0.000475
2026-02-22 0.000044 0.000065 0.000095 0.000143 0.000218 0.000333 0.000530
2026-03-01 0.000042 0.000063 0.000094 0.000145 0.000228 0.000361 0.000594
2026-03-08 0.000038 0.000059 0.000090 0.000142 0.000229 0.000371 0.000631
2026-03-15 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000137 0.000226 0.000377 0.000660
2026-03-22 0.000033 0.000053 0.000084 0.000138 0.000234 0.000401 0.000723
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000140 0.000243 0.000427 0.000797
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000138 0.000245 0.000444 0.000855
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000046 0.000078 0.000138 0.000253 0.000470 0.000935
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000044 0.000075 0.000136 0.000255 0.000486 0.000996
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000136 0.000260 0.000509 0.001076
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000134 0.000261 0.000524 0.001138
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000131 0.000261 0.000534 0.001192
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000037 0.000068 0.000132 0.000269 0.000564 0.001297
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000036 0.000067 0.000134 0.000280 0.000601 0.001424
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000131 0.000278 0.000610 0.001481
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000062 0.000127 0.000273 0.000612 0.001520